The odds of Trump staying on the Colorado ballot look HIGH
President Donald Trump’s name is very likely to be on the Colorado 2024 ballot, based on the latest betting odds from Polymarket.
Their market odds on Monday showed that Trump had a 93 percent chance of being the GOP Republican nominee and an 83 percent chance of getting back on the Colorado primary ballot as the nation waits to see what ruling the U.S. Supreme Court will hand down on the issue.
In December 2023, the Colorado State Supreme Court ruled that the president was disqualified from appearing on the ballot based on assumptions surrounding the 14th Amendment, Section 3 of the U.S Constitution, which states that someone who has participated in an “insurrection” or “rebellion” cannot hold public office.
However, the interpretation of Section 3 is hotly debated, and it is important to note that President Trump has never been charged with insurrection or rebellion.
This is an integral point that Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh also brought up during oral arguments in the Colorado case, which will ultimately decide if the president’s name remains on the ballot.
“President Trump has not been charged with that,” Kavanaugh stated last week, per RSBN.
Polymarket’s Monday morning odds also found that the president had an 87 percent chance of winning every state in the Republican primary election, which seems very likely, given the supermajority of support he holds in the polls.
Ahead of the February 24 South Carolina GOP primary election, the 45th president is also the frontrunner in the Palmetto State, where he will square off against the only remaining Republican competition in the race, Nikki Haley, who served as the state’s governor.
The president leads Haley by a whopping 37 points in her own backyard, and based on the recent Morning Consult polling data, it does not appear that Haley is leading Trump in any state. The president is leading by dozens of points in states like Arizona, Texas, California, Louisiana, Massachusetts, and North Carolina.