Nobel peace prize 2025 live: Norway fears repercussions if Donald Trump not honoured in ceremony | Nobel peace prize
Welcome to the Nobel peace prize blog
Welcome to the Guardian’s live coverage of the 2025 Nobel peace prize. The winner is due to be announced in Oslo in an hour’s time.
Prepare yourself for surprises – winners are often unexpected, and the shortlist of nominees is not public. If the Norwegian Nobel Committee seeks to send a message, it can also be controversial. The committee has on several occasions sought to celebrate rights activists and shame oppressive regimes.
With major conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East and fears over a time of breakdown in international order, the committee’s choice today could be interpreted as a pointed signal on key failings from world leaders.
Last year, the Japanese atomic bomb survivor movement Nihon Hidankyo received the award. This year, the committee has a total of 338 candidates to choose from (244 of which are individuals and 94 organisations).
Other past winners include presidents, campaigners and organisations, from US President Jimmy Carter to Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev, from Nelson Mandela to the late Chinese rights activist Liu Xiaobo, from the EU to International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons.
Norwegian politicians have been steeling themselves for potential repercussions to US-Norway relations if it is not awarded to Donald Trump.
The Norwegian Nobel Committee pointedly said on Thursday that it had reached a decision about who would be named 2025 peace prize laureate on Monday, several days before Israel and Hamas agreed to a ceasefire under the US president’s Gaza plan.
Taking into account the timeframe and the composition of the independent five-person committee, most Nobel experts and Norwegian observers believe it is highly unlikely that Trump will be awarded the prize, leading to fears in the country over how he will react to being overlooked so publicly.
Follow us here for all the buildup, the announcement, and, of course, the reaction.
Key events
Why is the peace prize held in Norway but the other Nobels are in Sweden?
In case you were wondering: The peace prize is the only Nobel prize awarded in Norway – the others are awarded in Stockholm.
Alfred Nobel, who bequeathed his fortune to establish the awards, left in his will, that only the peace prize is to be awarded by a Norwegian committee. Unfortunately, he left no explanation.
The other four prizes are awarded by Swedish committees. The Norwegian committee is composed of five members appointed by the Norwegian parliament, the Storting.
It is not just people who receive the prize. This year, 94 organisations have been nominated for consideration of the Committee.
The International Criminal Court (ICC) in The Hague and Nato have been speculated as among the nominees. With the relentless war raging in Sudan, the local, volunteer-led Emergency Response Rooms (ERR) are reported to be on this year’s shortlist, too.
Chosing the ICC would send a firm message of support for an institution under threat. US President Donald Trump has imposed sanctions on the court, which had issued an arrest warrant for Israel’s prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu (Trump was nominated by Netanyahu for the 2026 prize).
Just last year, an organisation was awarded the Nobel peace prize, with the Japanese atomic bomb survivor movement Nihon Hidankyo getting the award.
Since 1901, the prize has been awarded 31 times to organisations. The UN refugee agency, UNHCR, has received the prize twice, in 1954 and 1981. The Comité international de la Croix Rouge (International Committee of the Red Cross) received it three times: in 1917, 1944 – for their efforts during the wars – and in 1963.
Jørgen Watne Frydnes, chair of the Norwegian Nobel Committee, is getting his tie on (to some superhero style music, it seems …)
Jørgen Watne Frydnes, chair of the Norwegian Nobel Committee, is ready to announce the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize.
Keep watching for the big announcement. pic.twitter.com/0fC3CQZUns
— The Nobel Prize (@NobelPrize) October 10, 2025
But didn’t officials in Pakistan and Israel also nominate Trump this year?
Yes, they did. But too late for this year’s submissions, which ended in February. Meaning we’ll be back on the “will-Trump-get-a-peace-prize-merrygoround” next year.
Who has been nominated this year?
We don’t know for sure – the Norwegian Nobel Committee keeps the candidates’ names secret for 50 years, meaning there is no certainty and it’s all, frankly, guesswork.
However, there is a workaround. We have an idea of a few people who are likely to be on the list when nominators — who are eligible individuals like members of government or university professors — choose to publicise their submissions.
This year, those include:
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Anti-occupation activists Issa Amro from Hebron, Palestine and Jeff Halper from Jerusalem. (Nominated by Norwegian MP Ingrid Fiskaa)
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Donald Trump. The US president has said several times that he deserves the prize, and is openly envious that four of his predecessors, including Barack Obama, who have received the award. (Nominated by US Republican Representative Claudia Tenney)
Welcome to the Nobel peace prize blog
Welcome to the Guardian’s live coverage of the 2025 Nobel peace prize. The winner is due to be announced in Oslo in an hour’s time.
Prepare yourself for surprises – winners are often unexpected, and the shortlist of nominees is not public. If the Norwegian Nobel Committee seeks to send a message, it can also be controversial. The committee has on several occasions sought to celebrate rights activists and shame oppressive regimes.
With major conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East and fears over a time of breakdown in international order, the committee’s choice today could be interpreted as a pointed signal on key failings from world leaders.
Last year, the Japanese atomic bomb survivor movement Nihon Hidankyo received the award. This year, the committee has a total of 338 candidates to choose from (244 of which are individuals and 94 organisations).
Other past winners include presidents, campaigners and organisations, from US President Jimmy Carter to Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev, from Nelson Mandela to the late Chinese rights activist Liu Xiaobo, from the EU to International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons.
Norwegian politicians have been steeling themselves for potential repercussions to US-Norway relations if it is not awarded to Donald Trump.
The Norwegian Nobel Committee pointedly said on Thursday that it had reached a decision about who would be named 2025 peace prize laureate on Monday, several days before Israel and Hamas agreed to a ceasefire under the US president’s Gaza plan.
Taking into account the timeframe and the composition of the independent five-person committee, most Nobel experts and Norwegian observers believe it is highly unlikely that Trump will be awarded the prize, leading to fears in the country over how he will react to being overlooked so publicly.
Follow us here for all the buildup, the announcement, and, of course, the reaction.
